Tuesday, February 27, 2018

What can cause mortgage rates to go up?

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified in front of the House Financial Service Committee on the State of the U.S economy.  Wages have increased 2.9% year over year in January (after a dismal 2.5% average in 2017) and as wage growth continues, businesses will need to fund this growth with higher product prices.  This will contribute to inflation.  Inflation hurts bond values and when bond prices go down, rates go up. 

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) continues to predict that there will be four short term borrowing rate increases this year (what the government charges banks for overnight loans).  These rate changes will create ongoing volatility in mortgage rates.  The MBA has also predicted an average rate of 4.80% in the 4th quarter, 2018.

According to S&P Case Shiller, December saw home prices increasing and February consumer confidence hit the highest level since November, 2000.  Wage increases, higher product prices, home value increases and consumer confidence at a multi year high predict increasing mortgage rates. 

Here's where all of this information took me this morning:

This morning, I calculated an increase of $47/mo in house payment at a future 4.8% interest rate versus what we have available today.  My client this morning was wondering if buying now or waiting until the end of the year made the most sense considering they are locked into a rental contract until year end? 
Mortgages with Marty in Utah!
 
Something else to consider would be home value appreciation and a higher sales price of $15,600 (considering a 6% home value appreciation per year).

With higher rates and higher sales prices at year end, my client is now wondering if it makes sense to break their lease early and purchase now?

If you would like to review your options to purchase or refinance, give me a call at 801-540-5108. 

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Wednesday, January 3, 2018

Today's rates and what it means for January 2018?


Today's Rates

Mortgage rates today have opened unchanged, as investors ignored this morning's financial reporting and continued to wait for Friday's Employment Report.
The Institute For Supply Management released its ISM Manufacturing Index for December. The index tracks where production managers in the US feel their business is heading -- anything over 50 means business is increasing. Experts anticipate that the index will drop slightly from last month's 58.2 to 58.0. We got a rise, however, to 59.7. This could hurt rates if anyone pays attention to it -- the report is known to be volatile.
Manufacturing and production output (as well as the feeling business has about the future of the economy) is a predictor or WHEN inflation will start.  In my experience over the years, I have seen this increase in the ISM a preview of increasing rates (inflation). 

Purchase or Refinance:online application

Marty Qualls
801-540-5108
marty@martyqualls.net

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Rate forecast for January 2018

Click on Buy or Refinance
 
 
It's a new year, but a similar story from years past is on repeat. Mortgage rates are low, but not for long.
Just about every analyst out there is calling for higher rates in the new year. The economy is breaking records, and a freshly minted tax code could induce economic expansion, but also inflation.
All these factors are bad for mortgage rates.
The good news, though, is that rates are surprisingly steady in the face of overarching changes like the new tax law. A golden opportunity still exists for those who are looking to buy or refinance a home in 2018.
 
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Marty Qualls  801-540-5108  marty@martyqualls.net

 

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Conforming Mortgage Loan Limits for 2018 increasing!


New Conforming Loan Limits in 2018
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced new maximum loan limits effective January 1, 2018 for conforming loans acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.


In most of the U.S., the 2018 maximum conforming loan limit for one-unit properties will be $453,100, an increase from $424,100 in 2017. Higher loan limits will be in effect in higher-cost areas. New loan limits, however, will not take effect in 71 counties or county equivalents around the country.

What prompted this change? The Housing and Economic Recovery Act (HERA) requires that the baseline conforming loan limit be adjusted each year for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to reflect the change in the average U.S. home price.

On November 28, FHFA published its third quarter 2017 House Price Index report, which included estimates for the increase in the average U.S. home value over the previous four quarters. According to the report, house prices increased 6.8 percent, on average, between the third quarters of 2016 and 2017. Therefore, the baseline maximum conforming loan limit in 2018 will increase by the same percentage.

With home prices on the rise, the conforming loan limit increase opens up opportunities and helps keep home loans more affordable for more Americans.

If you'd like to learn more about these new loan limits or other loan products, please get in touch with me today. I'm happy to help!


Mortgages with Marty in Utah!
801-540-5108

Friday, February 10, 2017

When are mortgage rates going to go up?

For the fourth straight month, the Rasmussen Reports Consumer Spending Update shows confidence in the economy trending upward - with an amazing 25-point overall increase in economic confidence and a 26-point increase in confidence in the direction of the economy since the 2016 presidential elections.

#1 wealth accumulator in America is to own real property!
What does this mean for interest rates?  Are they REALLY on the way up like everyone is talking about? 

Because the economic cycle predicts what will happen with interest rates relative to growth of wages, consumer confidence, Wholesale price escalation, etc., we have data which supports what will be happening in the future of the mortgage industry in 2017. 

Okay, so what is going to happen? 
As consumer confidence increases, our economy is expanding and workers (consumers) will buy more products, increasing demand which at a certain point, creates inflationary pressure (From our old days in Econ 101-Demand and Supply lecture). 

Mortgage bonds HATE inflation!  So, If bond prices go down, because they don't like inflation, rates go up.  Really, from my vantage point and from what I read from experts that are a whole lot smarter than I am, it's just a matter of time before the rates go up. 

Then you might be wondering by how much will the rates be increasing?  That's for another post. 
But for now? Our rates continue to hover at historic lows.  Great news for purchasing, building and refinancing.  

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I look forward to helping with mortgage questions and needs! 

Marty  801-540-5108


Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Home Values Increasing Along With Ownership

It was an exciting time for home ownership growth in 1992 as Bill Clinton became our 42nd President.  President Clinton PUSHED for homeownership in America!  It made sense for America because there would be less public assistance needed because there would be fewer divorces because that's the good thing about owning a home, it provides stability.  Statistics supported family formation AND home ownership to stop the drain on financial assitance. 
President Clinton knew his numbers. 
He knew his facts.
He knew that welfare and other public assistance costs associated with a single parent home would decrease, IF he could get what he wanted...
His goal was that 67% of American households would be home owners!


President Clinton came close to reaching his wishes of American homeownership as the housing industry BOOMED!  But it wasn't until June, 2004 when then President #43, George W Bush, reaped the rewards of a fully engaged economy working WITH mortgage rates and home ownership to create a country where...
69.2% of American Households owned a piece of the rock!

Agenda's change, the economy lags, goals for homeownership fall away and twelve years go by and on July 28, 2016 American household home ownership FELL to the lowest level since 1965...
62.9%.  :(  Boo! 

19 months later we now see the percentage of American Households owning their own home increasing, ever so slightly, but increasing every quarter!  :) Yay!
As we closed out 2016 and were on the verge of swearing in our 45th President, we now see...
63.24% of American's OWNING!  

These are households who are not renting or living with relatives and are enjoying the current home value appreciation of 3-7% annually (depending on the state you live in and/or the neighborhood you live in-YES, the neighborhood in UTAH makes a 3% difference in annual home value appreciation, just ask your Realtor!).

Marty Qualls
Professional Mortgage Services since 1991
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801-540-5108



Wednesday, June 29, 2016

When is the "perfect" time to lock your mortage rate?

Know How To Recognize A Good Mortgage Rate

Mortgage lenders are often asked if there is a best time of day, day of the week, or period of the year when a prospective borrower should lock in a mortgage interest rate. 

The truth is, no one can tell with any degree of accuracy what rates will do.
In fact, the best time to lock a mortgage is when the unexpected happens.


Case in point: Brexit
Recently, Britain voted to exit the European Union. “Brexit,” as it is known, caused an international "flight to quality," meaning investors worldwide sought perceived safe assets like U.S. mortgage bonds. Mortgage rates fell dramatically.
These unforeseen shifts are the best time to lock a mortgage. But what if you’re not fortunate enough to be rate shopping during a period of mortgage rate upheaval?
Then, you go into the process knowing how to recognize a good rate, and being ready to lock it in.

Locking The Perfect Rate Is Like Hitting A Moving Target

Purchasing a home could be the most impactful financial decision you will make in your life. You want to capitalize on the lowest possible rate.
In an ideal world, you would know when to pull the trigger on a rate lock with perfect timing -- assured in the knowledge that rates have hit their relative lowest point. But with interest rates subject to change daily and even hourly, choosing the right time to pull the trigger on a rate lock can be difficult.
This is a matter best discussed with experienced mortgage expert who can review your unique situation and suggest relevant options.

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Condo Certs are difficult to obtain!



Is it any wonder nobody wants to originate a mortgage for a condo these days? Not only are there exceptionally stringent guidelines to adhere to as far as whether the project is eligible for financing, but it costs the donation of your left kidney to obtain the documents required by Fannie Mae to determine this.

For a good while the trend has been for Property Management companies to steer us to an automated website in order to obtain the elusive condo questionnaire, Master Insurance Policy, Budget, CCRs, Litigation Information, and Bylaws. In order for one to gain access to these all important items, it is required to pay upwards of $250! After waiting a few days, time that can barely be spared, the documents are available to download, at which point you discover the Master Insurance Declaration Page is expired, or the project is non-warrantable, which sees your $250 go up in flames as your money was spent on a project that is not worthy of a regular loan.

Friday, February 12, 2016

It's fast and furious when deciding to Lock or Float

Mortgage Rates at 3.5 Percent, until Noon yesterday
 
Mortgage rates were widely available at 3.5 percent for some of the day yesterday.  At any other time from the middle of 2013 through the end of 2015, that's not something that very many people thought they'd be able to say (or read, or think!).   


As is often the case with financial markets, the biggest, quickest moves demand an occasional pause. The bounce prompted most lenders to revise rate sheets higher in the afternoon.

Still, it's a good wake-up call as to the potentially temporary nature of the long-term lows we have been enjoying.  Markets run hard.  Sometimes they can surprise you as to how hard and how fast they change.  And then at some point, the running is over, or worse: we run in the other direction.  

There's no telling whether that's the case with yesterdays intraday bounce, but it's always a risk that can factor into one's decision-making process when it comes to locking or floating.
 
                    Call me for help with your purchase or refinance mortgage questions. 
  

Wednesday, December 9, 2015

Grant money is available!


Purchasing a home in Clearfield city limits and also in all of Davis County just got a whole lot easier!  Grant money for 2015 (loan closing must happen before December 31, 2015) is currently available and on January 1, 2016, MORE grant money will be announced and available. 

Grant Money available!
Income limits are generous and the Grant money is forgiven (doesn't need to be paid back) after 7 years!  FREE money to be used for down payment or closing costs in conjunction with any fixed rate mortgage loan program!

I have the Grant application forms, reserve your Grant money today by calling me today!

Thursday, October 29, 2015

Rate Lock recommendation continues after Fed announcement

Lock!

Rates moved up quickly today causing lenders to increase rates by .125%-.25% (FHA and Conventional loans respectively).  Much of the Freddie Mac information released today was misleading because what happens on Thursday and Friday isn't reflected in their reports.

Mortgages with Marty Qualls in Utah!
For options and rates call me.  The move up could be something temporary and as the markets settle, December's most likely target identified by the Fed yesterday could be the new line in the sand and best rates in 28 weeks could still be available for awhile longer.  :)

Here's the link to the excellent article to explain more about why it's important to have a close relationship with your loan originator who can call you BEFORE rates go up and you can lock your rate BEFORE the markets change: Freddie Mac's reports are too slow, too late

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Why home ownership makes sense financially

A recent Harvard Study (The rent crisis is about to get a lot worse) conducted to explore the cost and benefit of renting vs buying found that the number of  households which could be spending at least half of their income on rent could increase 25% (increasing to 15 million households) over the next decade.

Eric Belsky is Managing Director of the Joint Center of Housing Studies at Harvard University. He also currently serves on the editorial board of the Journal of Housing Research and Housing Policy Debate. Last year he released a paper on homeownership - The Dream Lives On: the Future of Homeownership in America. In his paper, Belsky reveals five financial reasons people should consider buying a home.

Here are the five reasons, each followed by an excerpt from the study:

1.) Housing is typically the one leveraged investment available. 


“Few households are interested in borrowing money to buy stocks and bonds and few lenders are willing to lend them the money. As a result, homeownership allows households to amplify any appreciation on the value of their homes by a leverage factor. Even a hefty 20 percent down payment results in a leverage factor of five so that every percentage point rise in the value of the home is a 5 percent return on their equity. With many buyers putting 10 percent or less down, their leverage factor is 10 or more.”

Monday, October 26, 2015

Rate lock recommendation and increases in home value benefits


Investors should not be too quick to write off an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December, despite market expectations increasingly looking to early next year as more likely, the former executive vice president at the New York Fed said today.



Rates continue to hover at a 28 week low and best execution for 30 year fixed rates at 3.75%-3.875% for borrowers with top tier scenarios.  I am recommending locking at these current rates for purchase and refinance as the market weighs in on China and other world economies to predict the direction the Federal Reserve will take in timing of the anticipated rate hike.

Home values continue their steady upward climb and my experience with multiple offers on correctly priced homes in the purchase market continues.  The highest success of offer acceptance in a competitive home sale market which we currently have is for clients who have a FULL credit approval letter, backed by a 3 bureau merged credit report, an Automated Underwriting System approval and supported with my underwriting teams review of income and asset documentation.

Mortgage rates and home values are also helping borrowers drop Private Mortgage Insurance on their conventional loans with a refinance to a new loan at lower 15 year rates and FHA borrowers convert their FHA loans to a new conventional loan with lower rate and no monthly mortgage insurance.

Call me at 801-540-5108 and we can review your purchase or refinance options!

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Rents are going through the roof!


Rent costs are rising quickly!


Single family rentals account for 13% of the overall housing stock (up from 9% in 2005) and rents are heating up!  Rents are higher than they should be given the underlying real estate values. 

As a result of the higher cost of rent relative to overall household income, first time home buyer's who have now entered the market (first time home buyer home purchases are the highest this year since 2009) are discovering the value of purchasing rather than renting. 

With appreciation in home values ticking along at 4% per year nationally (and regionally 6-8% and higher in some hot selling neighborhoods), coupled with historically low interest rates, and home financing is once again available to home buyer's with good credit, reasonable debt obligations and little or no down payment. 

Purchase a home today because all the stars are lining up!
With after tax rates for home financing in the 3% range, home buyer's today are using their home purchase as a financial leveraging tool and will payoff debt that has a higher interest rate, like credit cards, student loans, department store cards and car loans, and paying off their mortgage LAST.


If a home purchase can again be viewed as an investment (steady appreciation) and as a financial leverage tool (payoff higher interest rate debt first and your mortgage last), the only thing we need to add to the equation is a beautiful house to buy for fun and financial success to begin!

Call Marty Qualls at 801-540-5108 for help with any of your mortgage questions.   


Thursday, October 30, 2014

What are Japanese Candlesticks? Why are they important?

I watch the bond market, stock market, futures, inflation, unemployment, housing demand, refinance and home purchase activity, world news, national news, political developments, gas prices and yes, I even watch the weather for signs of what the market will be doing in the future.

Giving reliable advice to my clients as to whether they should LOCK or FLOAT their interest rate when they have a mortgage application with me is a major goal of mine.  Their decision (based on my advice) has long term consequences and if they (and I) choose wisely so that they can maximize their investment return on their mortgage.

A mortgage is another form of investment strategy, but this is a whole blog post to come in the future.  I look forward to talking about the value of a "Big FAT 30 year mortgage" in a future Blog Post.

But today, what I want to talk about is what I use to gauge what is going on in the market TODAY, right this moment, and is something available to me and it's called "Japanese Candlesticks".  I would like to explain why this is valuable and important to me AND to my clients who are relying on my expertise and guidance,

What you see below is today's Japanese Candlesticks Chart (4%, 30 year bond yields) and it is showing lots of green "candles".  Green is Good!  It means that mortgage rates are improving or the market is favorable.  The last green candle on the far right of the chart (right next to the S1 in the blue box) is today's market activity.

Tomorrow's rates should (unless the market changes dramatically overnight or in the early hours of trading in New York tomorrow morning) be about the same, possibly better than they were today.

Yesterday's rates were worse than today's (the red candle shows a lower price, higher mortgage rate than today's), and so forth backwards.  Over the past 17 trading days the rates have been close to, above or just below the best rates in 17 months (best since May 8, 2013).

The S2 line, below the candlesticks, is the FLOOR of SUPPORT and with the rates close to this floor, if the bond prices begin to break below this floor, like happened yesterday for two hours, we COULD see the mortgage bond prices begin to deteriorate and we could see these great rates go away  (go up!) and this could be forever or temporarily, that is the gamble of NOT taking advantage of rates today.  

Call me today if I can help with analysis for your mortgage refinance or purchase.  :)



Wednesday, October 29, 2014

What's FHA financing all about?

FHA loans in 1991:
When I became a mortgage loan originator in 1991, I couldn't believe that there was a loan product which allowed all of the down payment to be gifted!  "Are you sure this is true?", I asked my mortgage lender buddy who had come over to the mortgage department at the bank we were with just 6 months before.  "It's true!  Can you believe how great of a program it is?"  That was my first impression of how great the FHA loan was because it lowered the barriers to home ownership for first time buyers.

FHA loans today: 
The FHA loan is a great fit for first time home buyer's and others with specific lending needs.  Since 1991 I have learned much about lending and about FHA.  I now know that FHA is a loan insurer not a lender, and that the loan is available to both first time home buyer's needing 100% financing (Utah Housing Loans/State Bond Programs), and it's a great alternative for buyer's who have less than perfect credit (my company, Primary Residential Mortgage, has a 580 credit score FHA loan program!).  FHA offers streamline loans to allow homeowners to lower their interest rate with NO COST (ZERO will be added to their existing loan balance, no appraisal required).

With FHA rates at their lowest in 17 months ( June, 2013), this is a great time for buyer's and current FHA loan holders to utilize purchase and refinance options!  Call me today for a more thorough analysis and discussion about what program's fit your needs the best.

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Lots of buyer activity for Q4, 2014

The fall months are no longer a real estate dead zone, and there is still plenty of action happening after Labor Day through Christmas.  An article in the October 18, 2014 Ogden Standard Examiner said that Davis County home sales were up 7% and Weber County were up 4% when compared to the same August time in 2013. Pending sales (homes under contract which will close in October) were up 22%, showing significant momentum for home sales as we enter into the beginning of Q4.  
fall sellers
By Brendon DeSimone on 26 Sep 2014
Fall officially began Sept. 23, but that doesn’t mean you should scrap plans for selling your home this year. In fact, October, November and December can actually be good months to sell. Now is the time to plan for it if you’ve even considered putting your home on the market.

Thursday, October 9, 2014

Now that rates have fallen, HOW should I refinance my home loan?

Refinance today before rates go up!
It's an interesting study that Freddie Mac has just completed and the findings released.  The average age of a refinanced loan is now 7.3 years, up two years from what it was last year and 3 times as long as the latest 10 year average.  In other words, there are over $800 million in mortgage loans today which have a higher than 5% interest rate!  Yours may be one of them.

With current 30 year rates hovering near 4% and 15 year at 3.5%, there can be substantial savings associated with refinancing.

But what about the cost associated with refinancing?
Does a homeowner REALLY need to save 1% on their mortgage to justify doing a refinance?
Why is 1% savings the "magic" number?

There are two ways to look at doing a refinance; 1) the rule of thumb 1% savings in interest rate, and 2) ZERO closing cost refinance-PURE savings because all you are doing is lowering your interest rate.

Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Buying a home BEFORE winter


 It’s that time of year, the seasons are changing and with them bring thoughts of the upcoming holidays, family get togethers, and planning for a new year. Those who are on the fence about whether now is the right time to buy don’t have to look much farther to find four great reasons to consider buying a home now, instead of waiting.
Why buying a home before winter makes sense
  1. Prices Will Continue to Rise
The Home Price Expectation Survey polls a distinguished panel of over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts. Their most recent report released recently projects appreciation in home values over the next five years to be between 11.2% (most pessimistic) and 27.8% (most optimistic). The bottom in home prices has come and gone. Home values will continue to appreciate for years. Waiting no longer makes sense.
  1. Mortgage Interest Rates Are Projected to Increase
Although Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey shows that interest rates for a 30-year mortgage have softened recently (best mortgage rate of the year, today 10/7/14), most experts predict that they will begin to rise later this year. The Mortgage Bankers Association, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the National Association of Realtors are in unison projecting that rates will be up almost a full percentage point by the end of next year. An increase in rates will impact YOUR monthly mortgage payment. Your housing expense will be more a year from now if a mortgage is necessary to purchase your next home.
  1. Either Way You are Paying a Mortgage
As a recent paper from the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University explains: “Households must consume housing whether they own or rent. Not even accounting for more favorable tax treatment of owning, homeowners pay debt service to pay down their own principal while households that rent pay down the principal of a landlord plus a rate of return. That’s yet another reason owning often does—as Americans intuit—end up making more financial sense than renting.”
  1. It’s Time to Move On with Your Life
The ‘cost’ of a home is determined by two major components: the price of the home and the current mortgage rate. It appears that both are on the rise. But, what if they weren’t? Would you wait? Look at the actual reason you are buying and decide whether it is worth waiting. Whether you want to have a great place for your children to grow up, you want your family to be safer or you just want to have control over renovations, maybe it is time to buy.
Bottom Line
If the right thing for you and your family is to purchase a home this year, buying sooner rather than later could lead to substantial savings.  
Mortgage questions?  Call 801-540-5108
Realtor referral available upon request
To get the ball rolling in your discussion about selling your home, I can help with mortgage questions you might have.  As a first step, it's always good to get an analysis of your current situation and to then get a credit approval into your hands.  Call me at 801-540-5108 with your mortgage questions.  
If you need a qualified Real Estate Professional to help with your home search, I can refer you to one of my trusted Realtor Business Partners for a worry free and pleasant home buying experience.  

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Selling your home NOW or in the winter?

Winter!  Just hearing the word and thinking of the season puts a chill in many homeowners minds, ESPECIALLY if you are thinking of selling your home.

After 24 years in the mortgage business, I love WINTER and the brisk real estate business of buying and selling that it creates.  Fall and winter brings excellent opportunities to negotiate a sale of your home and relocate to a new home that will meet your new home needs (upsizing or downsizing), put you closer to family, or advance your career with a job opportunity that is suddenly on your radar.

Winter is NOT a season to be afraid of if you are wanting to sell your home!  The latest foot traffic numbers provided by the National Association of Realtors shows that there are more buyer's looking at homes than in any other time in the past 12 months (MORE than in the Spring, 2014!).

Nationally, the housing supply is under the historical number of 6 months of supply and with more sellers reaching a positive equity position (19% of home value appreciation projected from now to 2018), more homes will be entering the market beginning in 6 months from now!  BEAT your competition and list your home now!

In the National Association of Realtors latest poll, 59% of buyer's would prefer (or had no preference when compared to purchasing a new home) purchasing an existing home!  Demand is in favor of an existing home selling in our present market!

I'm excited for this time of year (and this year specifically) because, as the temperatures begin to drop, demand will be heating up!

To begin the home listing process contact your favorite Realtor, and if you don't have one, call me and I'll refer you to someone who I know will take perfect care of your real estate questions and needs!


Tuesday, July 29, 2014

When I sell my home, what will my net proceeds be?

When you buy your home it seems that everything can go your way.  You ask for a lower sales price, it usually happens and you get it or at least you meet somewhere between the "asking price" and what you would dream of getting the home for (the "bargain price").  

By accepting the discounted price, is that all the seller is having to pay to market and close on the sale of their home?  Of course not and agreeing on the price is only the first step.  From the meeting of the minds on sales price, the seller needs to figure in additional costs associated with marketing and selling (and closing) their home.  

In general, a seller will be looking at between 4% and 7% of the sales price in selling costs, and this doesn't take into consideration helping the buyer with their closing costs and prepaid expenses, if the buyer asks for this help and is obtaining mortgage financing to fund their purchase.  

A Realtor helping a seller market and sell their home will itemize expenses to be paid at closing and will provide a "seller net sheet" to help see what net profit the seller will be receiving from the sale of their home. 

As the seller, included in the net sheet expenses are the following (some or all may apply):

Monday, July 28, 2014

Hurry, inflation will usher in higher mortgage rates!

Economic data ramps up this week and ends with the "Big Enchilada" on Friday, August 1st, with the July Jobs Report.
In the first half of this year, there has been an average of 230,000 new jobs created per month, above the 203,000 recorded per month in the first half of 2013.

Can these numbers be sustained and perhaps even move higher in the second half of the year?
If the numbers remain constant or increase, we could see inflationary worries, the arch enemy of bond prices.  As bond prices suffer (go down) because of inflation, or inflationary worries, rates will go in the opposite direction (go up).  
Today's additional headline was, "Worker's raises are back in vogue", raises additional worries that products will cost more at the wholesale level.  The monthly wholesale inflation report can be a market mover, but so far has been tamed by the unsettled world military climate overseas.  
As the summer draws to a close, it may be the perfect time to consider purchasing a first home, selling and upgrading or downsizing or looking at the 2nd home or investment home market.  

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Winning a Competitive Bidding War

Emotions can play a big role in the hot (temperature and real estate selling and buying activity) summer months.  Summer 2014 has created a balance of sellers and buyers and with it comes competition among buyer's.  There are ways to prevent paying too much for the house that you are interested in, even though you might feel that you need to increase your bid amount so you can be successful in "sealing the deal".

When in a competitive bid war there are some basic steps to take in order to not pay too much for the house you are bidding on:

  1. Ask yourself, "is this really the house I want?"  Sometimes you will be able to step back and ask this objective question and it will cool off your emotions and you can make a level headed decision about "how high should I go with my offer?"

Monday, July 21, 2014

Inflation worries mean higher mortgage interest rates?

Inflation is the arch enemy of mortgage bonds and erodes bond prices.  The lower the bond price goes, the higher the mortgage interest goes.  The Federal reserve has done an excellent job of balancing growth of the U.S economy and their bond purchasing program has kept demand for Mortgage bonds high and mortgage rates low.  

With the latest poll from the Rasmussen Reports confirming what is happening with prices that we are paying for groceries, consumers are not confident that the Government (the Federal Reserve) won't have success in controlling inflation once the economy gets into full swing again.  If this becomes true , rather than a survey of what American's think MIGHT happen, we will see mortgage rates go up in the future.  

The Federal Reserve will be exiting the bond purchase program in October, 2014-this is their most recent estimate) and with inflation worries, this may be the best and last time to see these mortgage rates at the lows they are currently at (today's rates are the lowest they have been in 15 months). 

The report said that the number of Americans who are paying more for groceries also has risen to its highest level in over two years. There's an increasing lack of confidence, too, that the Federal Reserve Board can keep inflation under control.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey (95% confidence) finds that 88% of American Adults say they are paying more for groceries this year than the year before. 
This finding is up six points from last month and the highest since May 2012. Only seven percent (7%) say they are not paying more than they were a year ago, the lowest finding since January 2012. Five percent (5%) are not sure. 

Friday, July 18, 2014

American's see this as a great time to sell and buy a home!

Americans now believe it’s a good time to sell a house in their area, and most still consider buying one a good investment.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey (95% confidence level) finds that 36% of American Adults now say this is a good time for someone in their area to sell a home. That’s down eight points from last month’s high of 44% and back to the level seen in May. 

Still, it remains far more optimistic than Americans have been in most surveys since the spring of 2009

With the selling season in full swing this is a great time to consider selling your home and investing in a new home!