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Tuesday, March 10, 2009

How long before our economy recovers?

IT MAY TAKE SOME TIME - The current bear market (defined as a drop of at least 20% of the S&P 500 stock index from a previous closing high) is the 9th bear market in the last 50 years and the 3rd where the loss has been at least 40%. The current bear’s “peak to trough” drop is 56.4%, the low close occurring just last Thursday (on 3/05/09). It took the S&P 500 index 70 months and 56 months to recover back to a new closing high following the 2 previous bears where the loss exceeded 40%. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the US stock market (source: BTN Research).